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Epoch AI --- compute, data, and algorithmic trends

src_epoch_ai

https://epoch.ai

reliability

0.85

authors: Epoch AI research team

published: ongoing

Notes

Public dashboard tracking frontier-model compute and data scaling. Primary operator reference.

Warrants from this source (5)

Algorithmic progress roughly halves the compute required to reach a fixed langu… qualify

weight

0.50

method: expert_estimate · locator: Epoch commentary on benchmark-dependence of efficiency estimates
AI capability is accelerating along compute, data, and algorithmic axes. support

weight

0.90

method: direct_measurement · locator: trends dashboard
Training compute for frontier AI models has grown roughly 4-5x per year from 20… support

weight

0.95

method: direct_measurement · locator: Notable AI Models dataset; 2024 compute-growth post
Frontier AI performance scales with compute and capex. support

weight

0.85

method: direct_measurement · locator: compute-vs-performance section
The US currently leads China in frontier AI by roughly 6-18 months. support

weight

0.65

method: triangulation · locator: US vs China frontier-model comparison